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Global DJ Broadcast World Tour - Boston

Global DJ Broadcast World Tour
Recorded Live from Ocean Club
Boston, MA, USA
Markus Schulz
September 5, 2013

01. Markus Schulz - Remember This *World Premiere* (Taken from Buenos Aires '13)
02. Dannic - Viper (Markus Schulz Edit)
03. Markus Schulz & Barnes & Heatcliff vs. Alesso & OneRepublic vs. Maywave - Losing Myself in New World Harmony (Markus Schulz Mashup)
04. Orjan Nilsen - Xiing (Markus Schulz Edit)
05. Marcus Schossow & Sebjak - Kemi
06. Fatboy Slim - Praise You (ID Remix)
07. Armin van Buuren ft. Trevor Guthrie - This Is What It Feels Like (W&W Remix)
08. Ummet Ozcan - The Cube
09. Fisherman & Hawkins - Apache
10. Beat Service - Aurora
11. Lana Del Rey - Summertime Sadness (Cedric Gervais Remix)
12. Dimitri Vegas, Moguai & Like Mike vs. Ferry Corsten & Aruna - Mammoth Forever (New World Punx Mashup)
13. Omnia - The Light
14. Markus Schulz & Sarah Howells vs. Bart Claessen - Tempted Fantomah (Markus Schulz Mashup)
15. Danny Avila - Tronco
16. KhoMha vs. Nadia Ali - Dejavu Rapture (Khomha Mashup)
17. Armin van Buuren vs. W&W - D# Fat
18. Markus Schulz & Ferry Corsten - Loops & Tings
19. New World Punx - Romper
20. Beat Service vs. Markus Schulz & Ana Diaz - Nothing Without Fortuna (New World Punx Mashup)
21. Grube & Hovsepian - Trickster
22. M.I.K.E. - Natural Source (Markus Schulz Big Room Reconstruction)
23. Venom One ft. Adina Butar - Crashed and Burned (Big Room Remix)
Bonus studio set: 01. Joint Operations Centre - Under a Sea of Birds
Bonus studio set: 02. ID (featured on Buenos Aires '13)
Bonus studio set: 03. 4 Strings - Twilight Mode
Bonus studio set: 04. Fisherman & Hawkins vs. Nifra - The Battle *World Premiere* (featured on Buenos Aires '13)
Bonus studio set: 05. Skytech - The Other Side (featured on Buenos Aires '13)

Markus Schulz - website | Facebook | G+ | iTunes | MySpace | SoundCloud | Spotify | YouTube | Global DJ Broadcast | @MarkusSchulz

Global DJ Broadcast World Tour - Miami

Global DJ Broadcast World Tour
Recorded Live from The Terrace
Space in Miami, Florida, USA
Markus Schulz
April 04, 2013

01 Markus Schulz pres. Dakota - I'm Where it Went Wrong
02 Tucandeo - Grey Goose
03 Danilo Ercole - A Man with Two Names
04 Greg Downey pres. R.I.C.O. - Afraid of the Dark
05 Microtrauma - Reflection
06 Aerofoil vs. E & G - One Word (Markus Schulz Big Room Reconstruction)
07 KhoMha - Dejavu
08 Omnia - The Light
09 Markus Schulz ft. Sarah Howells - Tempted
10 ID
11 Dimitri Vegas, Moguai & Like Mike - Mammoth
12 KhoMha - Dusk Riddles
13 Orjan Nilsen - No Saint Out of Me
14 ID
15 Markus Schulz & Elevation - Finish Line
16 Digital X - Raptor
17 Ferry Corsten & Markus Schulz - Stella
18 New World Punx - Romper
19 Markus Schulz & Ferry Corsten - Loops & Tings
20 ID
21 Cosmic Gate - Storm Chaser (KhoMha Remix)
22 ID
23 Ashley Wallbridge & Rafael Frost vs. Tristian Garner - Overdrive Zorro (Markus Schulz Mashup)
24 Armin van Buuren vs. W&W - D# Fat
25 MKB - Katana (Markus Schulz Big Room Reconstruction)
26 Markus Schulz ft. Ana Diaz - Nothing Without Me (Beat Service Remix)
27 Grube & Hovsepian - Trickster
28 Markus Schulz - The Spiritual Gateway
29 ID

Great set as usual! Got really dark and deep

Markus Schulz - website | Facebook | G+ | iTunes | MySpace | SoundCloud | Spotify | YouTube | Global DJ Broadcast | @MarkusSchulz

A State of Trance 600 - Miami

A State of Trance 600 - Miami
Live from Ultra Music Festival
Bayfront Park
Miami, Florida, USA
March 24, 2013

EDT (Miami Time)

11:00 – 12.00 Armin’s warm-up set from studio
01 Track4Sale - Relaxation (Original Mix)
02 Carsten Rausch - Somewhere in Between (Original Mix)
03 ID
04 ID
05 ID
06 Silinder - Penthouse (Original Mix)
07 ID
08 Baiaz Project - Lujan (Evol Waves Remix)
09 Threesixty - Spectrum (Original Mix)
10 M.E.D.O. - Holidays (Original Mix)

12:00 – 13:00 Tritonal
01 Tritonal ft. Underdown - Deep Into Black
02 Ashley Wallbridge - Yin-Yang
03 Myon and Shane 54 ft. Aruna - Lights (7 Skies Remix)
04 Eric Prydz vs. Audien - Every Day Wayfarer (Tritonal Mashup)
05 Norin & Rad - Aldo
06 ID
07 Tritonal ft. Underdown – Bullet That Saved Me
08 Ashley Wallbridge - Zorro (Rafael Frost Remix)
09 Arty ft. Chris James - Together We Are (Audien Remix)
10 Showtek & Justin Prime - Cannonball
11 Audien ft. Michael S. – Leaving You vs. Tritonal ft. Soto - Everafter (Tritonal Mashup)
12 Hard Rock Sofa & Dirty Shade - Collapsar
13 Estiva & Tania Zygar - Death Of Me vs. Sandro Silva & Quintino - Epic
14 Anomaly - Calling Your Name (Tritonal & BT Club Mix)
15 Tritonal - Bullet That Saved Me (Tritonal Festival Mix)
16 ID

Tritonal - website | Facebook | iTunes | MySpace | SoundCloud | YouTube | Air Up There Podcast | @Tritonal

13:00 – 14:00 W&W
01 W&W - Lift Off
02 W&W - White Label
03 W&W - Shotgun
04 Hardwell ft. Amba Shepherd - Apollo (Dash Berlin 4AM Remix)
05 Ashley Wallbridge - Yin Yang
06 Ashley Wallbridge - Zorro (Rafael Frost Remix) vs. GTA, Henrix & Digital Lab - Hit It (W&W Mashup)
07 Zedd ft. Foxes - Clarity (W&W Bootleg)
08 Armin Van Buuren & W&W - D# Fat
09 W&W - Invasion
10 ID
11 W&W & Ummet Ozcan - The Code
12 Tiesto - Maximal Crazy vs. ID
13 Id
14 W&W and Marcel Woods - Trigger
15 ID
16 ID

W&W - website | Facebook | Podcast | SoundCloud | MySpace | YouTube | @wandwmusic

14:00 – 15:00 Cosmic Gate
01 Cosmic Gate & Cary Brothers - Wake Your Mind (Intro Mix)
02 Mat Zo & Porter Robinson - Easy
03 Cosmic Gate & J Something - Over the Rainbow (W&W Remix)
04 First State ft. Anita Kelsey - Falling
05 Super8 & Tab - Teardrops
06 Omnia - The Light
07 Ferry Corsten - Rock Your Body Rock 2013 (Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike Remix)
08 Dimitry Vegas, Moguai & Like Mike - Mammouth
09 Cosmic Gate - The Theme
10 Cosmic Gate ft. Emma Hewitt - Be Your Sound
11 Emma Hewitt - Rewind (Mikkas Remix)
12 Cosmic Gate - Fire Wire (Cosmic Gate's Back 2 The Future Remix)
13 Cosmic Gate & Cathy Burton - Drifting Away\
14 Cosmic Gate - Exploration Of Space (Cosmic Gate's Back 2 The Future Remix)

Pretty good set except that it sounded like their KL set

Cosmic Gate - website | Facebook | MySpace | SoundCloud | YouTube | @RealCosmicGate

15:00 – 16:00 ATB
01 Rapha di Sands - Manantial vs. ATB - Ecstasy
02 Velvetine - The Great Divide (Myon and Shane 54 Summer of Love Mix)
03 ATB - 9pm (Till I Come) vs. ID
04 JJoo & Kevin Charm - Superleggera
05 ATB ft. JanSoon - Move On
06 Coldplay - Every Teardrop Is A Waterfall vs. Porter Robinson - Language
07 Estiva - Smiley Smilesworth
08 Blur - Song 2 vs. Nirvana - Smells Like Teen Spirit
09 ATB ft. Tiff Lacey - Still Here
10 BT ft. JES - Every Other Way (ID Remix)
11 Rank 1 - L.E.D There Be Light vs. BT ft. JES - Every Other Way (ATB Mashup)
12 Dash Berlin with ATB vs. Niki And The Dove - DJ Ease My Apollo Road (Dashup)

Great set

ATB - website | Facebook | MySpace | YouTube | @atbandre

16:00 – 17:00 Dash Berlin
01 One Republic - If I Lose Myself (Dash Berlin Remix)
02 Porter Robinson ft. Heather Bright - Language vs. Dash Berlin ft. Chris Madin - Language In Your Heart (Dashup)
03 Dash Berlin ft. Chris Madin - Fool For Life (Dash Berlin 4AM Remix)
04 John Martin - Just Drive (Dash Berlin Bootleg)
05 Alexander Popov ft. Kyler England - My World
06 Motorcycle - As The Rush Comes (Dash Berlin Remix)
07 Hardwell ft. Amba Shepherd - Apollo (Dash Berlin Remix)
08 Christina Perri - Jar Of Hearts (Dash Berlin Bootleg)
09 Jones & Stephenson - The First Rebirth (Dash Berlin Bootleg)
10 Sander Kleinenberg vs. Rapha (Maarten De Jong Remix) - This Miami Is Nice (Dashup)
11 Alice Deejay - Better Off Alone (Dash Berlin 4AM Mix)
12 Super8 & Tab vs. John O'Callaghan & Audrey Gallagher - Big Sky Teardrops (Dashup)
13 Andrew Rayel ft. Jano - How Do I Know (Club Mix)
14 Dash Berlin ft. Band of Horses - The Funeral
15 Tiesto vs. Pendulum - Lethal Island (Dashup)
16 Dash Berlin - Till The Sky Falls Down (4AM Remix) (Outro Mix)

Tracklist courtesy of Dash Berlin's Mgmt Team

Dash Berlin - website | Facebook | SoundCloud | YouTube | @dashberlin

17:00 – 18:00 Markus Schulz
01 Cosmic Gate - The Godskitchen Beyond Sound Anthem (KhoMha Remix)
02 ID
03 Fisherman & Hawkins - Apache
04 ID
05 ID *World Premiere
06 Markus Schulz & Ferry Corsten - Loop & Tings
07 Markus Schulz & Elevation - Finish Line
08 Digital X - Raptor
09 Markus Schulz feat. Ana Diaz - Nothing Without Me (Beat Service Remix)
10 Markus Schulz - The Spiritual Gateway (Transmission Theme 2013)
11 Markus Schulz ft. Seri - Love Rain Down (4 Strings Remix)
12 Beat Service - Fortuna
13 Omnia - The Light
14 Bingo Players vs. Hardwell vs. Omnia & IRA - Out Of My Spaceman Fusion (Markus Schulz Mashup)
15 Armin van Buuren & Markus Schulz - The Expedition (ASOT 600 Anthem)

Markus Schulz - website | Facebook | G+ | iTunes | MySpace | SoundCloud | Spotify | YouTube | Global DJ Broadcast | @MarkusSchulz

18:00 – 19:30 Above & Beyond
01 Ost & Meyer - Here We Go
02 Norin & Rad - Aldo
03 Matt Darey pres. Urban Astronauts ft. Kate Louise Smith – See The Sun (Toby Hedges Remix)
04 Above & Beyond ft. Zoe Johnston - Alchemy (Above & Beyond Club Mix)
05 Audien - Wayfarer
06 Above & Beyond ft. Richard Bedford - On My Way To Heaven (Above & Beyond Club Mix)
07 Above & Beyond - Walter White
08 Jaytech ft. Steve Smith - Stranger (Kyau & Albert Remix)
09 Maor Levi - Holding On
10 Above & Beyond ft. Richard Bedford - Thing Called Love (Above & Beyond 2011 Club Mix)
11 7 Skies vs. Nitrous Oxide - Right On
12 Above & Beyond - Black Room Boy (Above & Beyond Club Mix)
13 Oliver Smith - Pressure
14 Super8 & Tab - L.A.
15 Above & Beyond ft. Richard Bedford - Liquid Love (Maor Levi Remix)
16 Above & Beyond ft. Richard Bedford - Sun & Moon (Club Mix)

Above and Beyond - website | Bebo | Facebook | G+ | iTunes | MySpace | Ping | SoundCloud | YouTube | @AboveandBeyond

19:30 – 21:00 Armin van Buuren
01 Zedd ft. Foxes - Clarity (Andrew Rayel Remix)
02 ID
03 Armin van Buuren ft. Fiora - Waiting for the Night (Beat Service Remix)
04 Perpetuous Dreamer - The Sound Of Goodbye vs. Emma Hewitt - Rewind (Mikkas Remix) (Armin van Buuren Mashup)
05 Omnia & IRA - The Fusion
06 Armin Van Buuren & W&W - D# Fat
07 Armin van Buuren ft. Trevor Guthrie - This Is What It Feels Like (W&W Remix)
08 ID
09 Armin van Buuren ft. Ana Criado - Suddenly Summer vs. Broning - Smash! (Armin van Buuren Mashup)
10 MaRLo - Boom
11 Alexander Popov - Lost Language
12 Armin van Buuren pres. Gaia - J'ai Envie De Toi
13 Beat Service - Aurora
14 Armin van Buuren pres. Gaia - Humming The Lights
15 Armin van Buuren & Markus Schulz - The Expedition (ASOT 600 Theme)
16 Alex M.O.R.P.H. ft. Sylvia Tosun - An Angel's Love (Vocal Mix)
17 Ciro Visone - First Coming (Ian Standerwick Remix)
18 Josh Wink - Higher State of Consciousnes vs. Photographer - Kervansaray (Armin van Buuren Mashup)
19 Photographer - Airport w/ Armin van Buuren ft. Susana - Shivers (Acapella) (Armin van Buuren Mashup)
20 Ferry Corsten vs. Armin van Buuren - Brute (Armin's Illegal Drum Edit) vs. Gareth Emery ft. Christina Novelli - Concrete Angel (Acapella) (Armin van Buuren Mashup)

Killer set again by Armin

Armin van Buuren - website | Armin Radio | Facebook | Flowd | G+ | iTunes | Ping | SoundCloud | YouTube | A State of Trance | @ArminvanBuuren

21:00 – 22:00 Ferry Corsten
01 ID - ID
02 Jacob van Hage - Crank
03 Ferry Corsten & Bassjackers - Collision
04 Ferry Corsten - Rock Your Body Rock (Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike Mainstage Remix)
05 Dimitri Vegas, Moguai & Like Mike - Mammoth
06 Ferry Corsten - ID *World Premiere*
07 Markus Schulz & Ferry Corsten - Loops N Tings
08 Ferry Corsten - Kudawudashuda vs. Ferry Corsten ft. Aruna - Live Forever (Ferry Corsten Mashup)
09 Imogen Heap - Hide & Seek (ID Remix)
10 ID - ID
11 Ferry Corsten ft. Betsie Larkin - Not Coming Down
12 Ferry Corsten - Punk (MaRLo Remix)

Ferry dropping dirty beats with his set! Tracklist courtesy of Ferry Corsten's Mgmt Team

Ferry Corsten - website | Beatport | Facebook | G+ | Hyves | iTunes | MySpace | SoundCloud | YouTube | @FerryCorsten

22:00 – 23:00 Paul van Dyk
01 ID
02 ID
03 ID
04 Nick The Kid pres. The Nameless Girl – Bright Light (Digital Self & Tek-Tonic Mix)
05 Paul van Dyk ft. Arty - The Ocean
06 Ummet Ozcan - The Box
07
08 Paul Van Dyk ft. Plumb - I Don't Deserve You (Giuseppe Ottaviani Remix)
09 Aly & Fila & Roger Shah ft. Adrina Thorpe - Perfect Love (ID Remix)
10
11 Paul van Dyk - For An Angel vs. Swedish House Mafia - One (Paul van Dyk Remix)
12
13
..
..
..

what a way to end the Miami Expedition with a truly legendary set from the legend himself... PvD. Closing with Time of our Lives and Home!

Paul van Dyk - website | Facebook | G+ | iTunes | Last.fm | MySpace | Spotify | Youtube | VONYC Session Podcast | Vandit | @paulvandyk

The rate of unemployment in the U.S. will fall to 6.2% by 2014

On March 1, 2012 we predicted (in a Seeking Alpha post) the rate of unemployment in the U.S. to fall down to 7.8% by 2013. The BLS announced 7.8% for September 2012. Here we present our basic model and predict the evolution of unemployment in 2013.

u(t) = p(t-2.5) + 2.5dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.0585 (1)

where inflation (CPI) leads unemployment by 2.5 years (30 months) and the change in labor force leads by 5 years (60 months). We have already postedon the performance of this model several times.

For the model in this post, we use monthly estimates of the headline CPI, u, and labor force, all reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. The time lags are the same as in (1) but coefficients are different since we use month to month-a-year-ago rates of growth. We have also allowed for changing inflation coefficient. The best fit models for the period after 1978 are as follows:

u(t) = 0.63p(t-2.5) + 2.0dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.07; between 1978 and 2003

u(t) = 0.90p(t-2.5) + 4.0dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.30; after 2003

There is a structural break in 2003 which is needed to fit the predictions and observations in Figure 1. Due to strong fluctuations in monthly estimates of labor force and CPI we smoothed the predicted curve with MA(24).

The structural break in 2003 may be associated with the change of sensitivity of the rate of unemployment to the change of inflation and labor force. Alternatively, definitions of all three (or two) variables were revised around 2003, which is the year when new population controls were introduced by the BLS. The Census Bureau also reports major revisions to the Current Population Survey, where the estimates of labor force and unemployment are taken from.

On March 1, 2012 the monthly model predicted a drop from 8.3% in February to 7.8% by the end of 2012. Figure 1 depicts the original prediction (upper panel) and the observed fall in the rate of unemployment (lower panel). Figure 2 shows that the observed and predicted time series are well correlated (Rsq.=0.81). This is a good statistical support to the model.

Figure 3 depicts the predicted rate of unemployment for the next 12 months. The model shows that the rate will fall to 6.2% by September 2013. For 105 observations since 2003, the modelling error is 0.4% with the precision of unemployment rate measurement of 0.2% (Census Bureau estimates in Technical Paper 66).

Hence, one may expect 6.2% [±0.4%].

Figure 1. Observed and predicted rate of unemployment in the USA as obtained in March and October 2012.

Figure 2. Observed vs. predicted rate of unemployment between 1967 and 2012. The coefficient of determination Rsq=0.81.

Figures 3. The predicted rate of unemployment. We expect the rate to fall down to 6.2% in September 2013.

How many democrats are needed to bias unemployment figures?

I do not consider any possibility that the Current Population Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for September 2012 is biased by CB or by the BLS, This is not the case. There is another hypothetical way to bias the data. There are around 70000 households surveyed by the CB. These households include approximately 200000 persons (mean household is 2.5 people). All these people (excluding several percent not responding ones) answer a few questions associated with their current status: employed, unemployed or not in the labor force. There current level of civilian labor force is approximately 155,000,00 with 12,000,000 unemployed. These figures are calculated by a projection of 200,000 to 310,000,000 using population controls. In essence, one person represents 1550 people.

How many people are needed to increase the rate of unemployment by 0.1%? The rate of unemployment is calculated as the ratio of the number of unemployed and labor force. So, 0.1% of unemployment rate with the level of labor force of 155,000,000 corresponds to 155000. Since one person in the CPS represents 1550 people, one needs only 100 people to increase the rate of unemployment by 0.1%. To decrease the rate by 0.3% , only 300 (democrats -Spartans?) are needed.

I do not say that the result for September 2012 is biased. I say that the Current Population Survey procedure is wide-open for manipulations.

7.8% unemployment was predicted in April 2012

In 2006, we developed three individual empirical relationships between the rate of unemployment, u(t), price inflation, p(t), and the change rate of labour force, LF(t), in the United States. We also built a general relationship balancing all three variables simultaneously. Since measurement (including definition) errors in all three variables are independent it may so happen that they cancel each other (destructive interference) and the general relationship might have better statistical properties than the individual ones. For the USA, the best fit model for annual estimates is a follows:

u(t) = p(t-2) + 2.5dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.0585 (1)

where inflation (CPI) leads unemployment by 2 years and the change in labor force by 5 years. We have already postedon the performance of this model several times.

Here a model with monthly estimates of CPI, u, and labor force is presented. The time lags are the same as in (1) but coefficients are different since we use month to month a year ago rates of growth. We have also allowed for changing inflation coefficient. The best fit models for the period after 1978 are as follows:

u(t) = 0.63p(t-2) + 2.0dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.07; between 1978 and 2003

u(t) = 0.90p(t-2) + 4.0dLF(t-5)/dtLF(t-5) + 0.30; after 2003

There is a structural break in 2003 which is needed to fit the predictions and observations in Figure 1. Due to strong fluctuations in monthly estimates of labor force and CPI we smoothed the predicted curve with MA(24). The rate of unemployment became more sensitive to the change of inflation and labor force. Alternatively, definitions of all three (or two) variables were revised around 2003, which is the year when new population controls were introduced by the BLS.

All in all, the monthly model predicts the observed rate of unemployment which has recently dropped to 8.3%. We expect the rate to fall further to the level of 7.8% by the end of 2012.

Figure 1. Observed and predicted rate of unemployment in the USA.

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